Independent strategic analysis

Narva Novgorod is next

IDS examines how geography, credibility, and escalation shape security in Europe and beyond.

Explore all analysis
Illustrated strategic map of Eurasia showing geographic pressure axes around Russia
Illustrative / not operational

Our focus

Analysis for the space between peace and general war.

01

Deterrence

How threats, commitments, and restraint shape choice.

02

Escalation

How limited crises widen—and how they can remain bounded.

03

Strategic stability

How institutions and military postures affect long-term risk.